Synthetic data and synthetic personas for market research

Category-leading positioning for education provider

The challenge

A well-established performing arts organisation faced declining enrolments and increased competition.
They needed to understand why parents weren't choosing their programmes and how to position themselves more effectively.

The organisation was making positioning decisions based on assumptions:

  • Assumed they competed against other creative arts programmes (music, art classes)
  • Assumed pricing was a competitive differentiator within their category
  • Assumed parents evaluated programmes based on creative development outcomes
  • Assumed instructor credentials mattered most for premium positioning

Their competitors operated on the same assumptions.
That's why the market felt commoditised.


What intelligence revealed

Decision intelligence from 250 parents across Northern Sydney uncovered patterns that contradicted every major assumption:

The category revelation

The organisation wasn't competing against music and art classes.
Parents evaluated performing arts programmes alongside confidence-building activities like swimming and martial arts.
Completely different competitive landscape. Completely different decision psychology.

This explained persistent positioning challenges.
Parents sought specific psychological outcomes that creative arts messaging didn't address.

The pricing psychology paradox

Cost wasn't a competitive differentiator within the category—it was a market entry barrier preventing parents from considering programmes initially.

That distinction matters: accessibility strategies differ fundamentally from premium positioning strategies.
The organisation was optimising for the wrong thing.

The expertise evaluation framework

Parents assessed instructor quality through specific behavioural indicators, not traditional credentials.
This created opportunities for premium positioning through specialised training and communication—not just technical qualifications.

The demographic sophistication requirement

Different cultural backgrounds, employment patterns, and income levels created distinct decision-making frameworks.
Generic messaging failed. Precision targeting succeeded.


What changed

From creative arts to confidence-building

Instead of competing as another creative arts option, the organisation repositioned in the confidence-building category where parents actively seek solutions and willingly pay premium pricing for specialised expertise.

From pricing confusion to strategic clarity

Two distinct strategies emerged:

  1. Remove cost barriers for market entry (accessibility)
  2. Premium positioning for specific segments (specialised expertise)

Previous approach confused these strategies.
The new approach optimised for each separately.

From generic to demographic precision

Messaging adapted for different cultural backgrounds, employment patterns, and income levels.
Crisis-moment marketing targeted psychological triggers when motivation peaked.

From credentials to behavioural indicators

Instructor positioning emphasised specialised expertise through specific behavioural demonstrations rather than generic teaching credentials.


The competitive advantage

This intelligence created market advantage because:

Competitors still think they're in creative arts

Category repositioning opportunity exists because competitors focus on creative arts positioning.
They don't recognise they're actually competing in confidence-building.

Pricing psychology misunderstood across industry

Most competitors treat pricing as a competitive differentiator within the category.
They miss the entry barrier dynamic entirely.

Demographic sophistication rare

Competitors use broad approaches.
Precision targeting based on cultural patterns and decision frameworks creates differentiation.


Why this matters for education providers

If you're positioning based on assumptions about what category you compete in, what drives parent decisions,
or how pricing influences selection—your competitors are probably making decisions based on the same assumptions.

That's the commoditisation trap.

Intelligence reveals:

  • What category you actually compete in (not what you assume)
  • What drives parent decisions (not what you think drives them)
  • How pricing operates (barrier vs differentiator)
  • What creates premium positioning (behavioural indicators vs credentials)

Then you can position around what matters instead of what you assume matters.

See how ASI would work for your situation

Book a 15-minute call with Steven Lewis to discuss your specific positioning challenge — competitive losses, unclear differentiation, retention issues, proposal struggles — and examine whether Asymmetric Strategic Intelligence (ASI) would reveal the decision intelligence you need.

You'll leave knowing whether your challenge fits the ASI methodology and, if it does, exactly what the process would reveal and how you'd use it.

Prefer to email? Email us at asi@taleist.agency.